Spider-Man: Brand New Day is on track for one of the biggest openings in box office history, and the numbers are already backing that up before the film has even released everywhere.

Sony and Marvel Studios are projecting the film to earn an estimated $465 million globally in its opening weekend, which would make it the biggest debut of the year.

That comes on the heels of
_Spider-Man: No Way Home_’s $600.5 million worldwide opening, which still holds the record for the largest post-Covid debut, and expectations for Brand New Day have stayed correspondingly high. The film opens midweek in major markets including China, Brazil, Mexico, and the UK, with domestic opening projections ranging between $180 million and $250 million.

It’s set to do this with a 99% foreign box office footprint, and despite going up against Christopher Nolan’s
_The Odyssey_, which has already crossed $600 million worldwide, analysts expect Brand New Day to dominate screens regardless, potentially even outpacing the hype building for
_Avengers: Doomsday_ later in the year.

Some trade estimates have pushed the projection even higher, putting the global opening within reach of $800 million, which would place it as the second-biggest global debut ever, behind only Avengers: Endgame.

What’s driving it in India

The Indian numbers are moving just as fast. The film had already recorded an estimated Rs 60 crore in advance bookings, working out to roughly $6.3 million, making it one of the biggest Hollywood releases in India’s history before release day even arrived.

Ticket prices have climbed alongside the demand, with premium formats and opening-day shows in major cities crossing Rs 3,700 in some luxury cinemas, a price point usually reserved for the biggest tentpole releases.

Why expectations are this high

Part of the reason is simple continuity: Brand New Day carries over Tom Holland and
Zendaya from the record-breaking No Way Home, giving it a built-in audience that doesn’t need convincing. The other part is timing, arriving in the middle of what’s already shaping up as a strong summer for theatres, with The Odyssey still playing in cinemas and Avengers: Doomsday generating its own buildup for later in the year.

Analysts tracking the numbers suggest Brand New Day’s opening could end up extending that momentum rather than competing against it, pulling audiences back into theatres who might otherwise have waited for a bigger ensemble release.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day releases in India tomorrow, July 30, with the US and UK releasing on July 31 and July 29.