RIL share price outlook: CLSA sees Q1 as turning point for Reliance Industries stock, predicts 14% upside on retail and Jio gains
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RIL share price outlook: CLSA sees Q1 as turning point for Reliance Industries stock, predicts 14% upside on retail and Jio gains

RIL share price: Reliance Industries shares, which have remained largely flat over the past year, could find a catalyst in the companyโ€™s first-quarter earnings next month, global brokerage CLSA said in a note.โ€œReliance Industries is entering an exciting period, beginning with its 1QFY26 earnings, where we expect to see notable improvements in KPIs across its key businesses,โ€ said CLSA analyst Vikash Kumar Jain, according to an ET report.The brokerage has retained its โ€˜Outperformโ€™ rating on the stock with a 14% upside and a target price of Rs 1,650.The report said that CLSA expects the drag from operational streamlining in Relianceโ€™s retail business โ€” which weighed on FY25 โ€” to now be behind it. โ€œWe expect retail to report year-on-year EBITDA growth in the high teens starting from Q1, as the benefits of the streamlining become visible,โ€ Jain was quoted as saying.Jioโ€™s telecom business is also expected to strengthen, aided by subscriber additions. โ€œOn the telecom front, Jio added 2.6 million mobile subscribers in April 2025, according to the latest TRAI data,โ€ the CLSA note reportedly said.โ€œThe addition of broadband subscribers (including AirFiber) will be over and above this, which could result in approximately 9โ€“10 million subscriber additions in Q1 โ€” compared to just 6 million across all four quarters of FY25.โ€ Jain added. CLSAโ€™s gross refining margin (GRM) marker indicates a US$1.1 per barrel quarter-on-quarter gain, which should benefit Relianceโ€™s oil-to-chemicals (O2C) business.The brokerage also flagged Relianceโ€™s upcoming annual general meeting, likely to be held in August or September, as a key event for investors. โ€œIt may offer hints on the upcoming Jio IPO, along with potential announcements related to scaling up in quick commerce, FMCG, and new energy,โ€ the note said.Shares of RIL closed 1.14% higher at Rs 1,467 on the BSE on Wednesday. The company remains Indiaโ€™s most valuable listed firm with a market capitalisation of Rs 19.85 lakh crore.



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