Is gold overbought or underinvested? Why BofA metals research chief says entry points are coming; what you need to know
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Is gold overbought or underinvested? Why BofA metals research chief says entry points are coming; what you need to know

Gold remains a key portfolio asset despite recent surges, and investors may still find opportunities to buy on dips, according to Michael Widmer, head of metals research at Bank of America.โ€œGold is overbought at the moment, but it is still underinvested,โ€ Widmer told Bloomberg Television. โ€œETF inflows last month were up 880% year-over-year, and that is ultimately a concern. From a pure fundamental macro backdrop, weโ€™re still looking good. The entry points are coming.โ€Widmer explained that while gold has rallied sharply in recent months, its allocation in portfolios remains well below historical highs. โ€œThe highest weโ€™ve ever had in terms of gold allocation is about 1.1%. Right now we are at half a percent. There is still space to increase,โ€ he said, highlighting the potential for selective investment.He cautioned, however, that rapid inflows into gold ETFs cannot continue indefinitely. โ€œYou canโ€™t compound growth at 880% forever. At some stage, you run into an air pocket, and gold might not rally. But fundamentally, it remains strong,โ€ Widmer added.On identifying buying opportunities, he said investors should watch for short-term dips. โ€œMonthly or weekly price movements of $100โ€“$200 could present entry points. Volatility is picking up, so the opportunities are coming,โ€ he noted.Widmer also stressed that gold is not purely a speculative asset but plays a strategic role in diversified portfolios. โ€œIt has a theoretical underpinning related to fiat currencies and debt. While it doesnโ€™t perform directly in the real economy, it provides price exposure and portfolio diversification,โ€ he said.He noted that institutional holdings of gold typically range from 10โ€“15% of total assets, depending on the risk-return profile. โ€œFor the best portfolios, gold serves as a meaningful diversification tool, offering protection and exposure in times of market uncertainty,โ€ Widmer said.(Disclaimer: Recommendations and views on the stock market and other asset classes given by experts are their own. These opinions do not represent the views of The Times of India.)



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