Gold price prediction today: Gold rates continue to hover in a range as news on Donald Trumpโs trade policies flows in. Where are gold prices headed and what should investors do? Here’s the analysis from Jateen Trivedi, VP Research Analyst – Commodity and Currency, LKP Securities:Gold futures remain under pressure as the MCX Gold October Futures contract struggles to recover from recent declines. After a brief pullback from the intraday lows, prices are currently hovering around โน98,778, with key technical indicators pointing to a weak rebound lacking bullish momentum. In light of the current setup, traders are advised to adopt a Sell on Rise strategy near โน99,000, with a stop-loss at โน99,450.Technical Setup Overview:The 8-period EMA is at โน98,765, and the 21-period EMA is at โน98,800. Price is trying to reclaim these levels but is struggling to close decisively above either, indicating hesitation and overhead resistance. A failure to sustain above โน99,000 would confirm bearish control.A clear lower-high lower-low formation dominates the 15-minute chart. The attempt to bounce back from the โน98,600โโน98,700 zone is facing headwinds from the declining short-term moving averages. Selling interest is visible on every upward tick.
- Volume and Open Interest:
Despite a modest bounce, volume remains uneven and not supportive of a bullish reversal. Open interest trends also suggest caution, with no aggressive long buildup detected. This favors the view of a corrective pullback rather than a trend change.
- Pivot Point & Supply Zone:
The previous dayโs pivot and price action suggest that the โน99,000โโน99,200 range remains a critical resistance zone. The multiple failed attempts to hold above this level make it an ideal sell zone for intraday setups.
- Momentum Indicators โ RSI & MACD:
โข The RSI is approaching the 50โ52 zone but has not broken above convincingly, implying weak upside momentum. โข While the MACD is not visible in the chart, the price structure suggests a shallow or weak crossover at best, lacking strength to confirm bullish continuation.Conclusion:Given the confluence of resistance around โน99,000, lack of follow-through volume, and weak momentum, traders may consider a Sell on Rise strategy in the range of โน99,000โโน99,100, maintaining a stop-loss at โน99,450. Downside targets include โน98,550, followed by โน98,200 if selling intensifies. Until the price decisively breaks and sustains above the 21 EMA with supportive volume, the trend remains vulnerable to further declines.(Disclaimer: Recommendations and views on the stock market and other asset classes given by experts are their own. These opinions do not represent the views of The Times of India)