Market watch: Indiaโ€™s equity valuations dip below long-term averages; but stay elevated versus peers
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Market watch: Indiaโ€™s equity valuations dip below long-term averages; but stay elevated versus peers

Indiaโ€™s equity valuations are trading marginally below their historical averages but continue to remain expensive compared with regional peers, raising concerns amid slowing earnings growth.The benchmark Nifty currently trades at a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 21.97 times, lower than its five- and 10-year averages of 24.4 and 24.8, respectively. In contrast, Hong Kongโ€™s Hang Seng is at 11.7, South Koreaโ€™s Kospi below 13, and South Africa at around 12.7, according to an ET report.Valuations in India have traditionally traded at a premium to peers, supported by strong growth prospects. However, with corporate earnings momentum weakening, foreign investors are paring exposure and holding back fresh allocations.

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โ€œValuations have begun mattering now because nominal GDP growth has slipped into single digits compared to around 12-13%,โ€ said Ritesh Jain, founder of Pinetree Macro, a global macro asset allocation fund. โ€œCorporate profitability is a function of nominal GDP. So, for an overseas fund manager looking at various markets, a country with slowing nominal growth and rich valuations is far less appealing despite its inherent strengths.โ€India is now the second-most expensive major market after the US, with some global fund managers increasingly shifting allocations to cheaper Chinese, European, and Japanese equities.Fund managers also noted that index composition plays a key role in valuation levels. โ€œThe composition of Indian indices must be taken into account while looking at valuations,โ€ said Nilesh Shah, managing director, Kotak Mutual Fund. โ€œIf the Sensex and Nifty are full of expensive consumer names and there are fewer commodity players, itโ€™s bound to push up valuation levels. If we were to remove some of the consumer names, our valuations are around averages on a historical basis.โ€



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