Gold rate outlook: Gold prices likely to stay under pressure as investors eye key US macro data, say analysts
0 3 min 9 mths


Gold rate outlook: Gold prices likely to stay under pressure as investors eye key US macro data, say analysts

Gold rate outlook: Gold prices are expected to remain subdued next week as investors await crucial US macroeconomic data, which may offer fresh signals on the Federal Reserveโ€™s stance on interest rates, analysts said.Improving risk appetite and easing geopolitical tensions have reduced investor interest in traditional safe-haven assets like gold, pushing them towards riskier assets such as equities.The US Federal Reserveโ€™s cautious tone on rate cuts has also weighed on gold sentiment. Fed Chair Jerome Powell, in his testimony last week, said rate cuts were possible but not imminent, prompting a global recalibration of gold holdings, according to PTI.On Friday, gold futures on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) fell sharply by Rs 1,563 or 1.61% to close at Rs 95,524 per 10 grams.Jateen Trivedi, VP Research Analyst – Commodity and Currency at LKP Securities, said fading geopolitical concerns, especially in the Middle East, are diverting investors towards equities. He expects gold to trade in the Rs 93,000โ€“97,500 range on the MCX and between USD 3,175โ€“3,325 in international markets in the coming week.โ€œThe movement will largely depend on key US macroeconomic indicators such as unemployment data, non-farm payrolls, and the ADP employment report,โ€ Trivedi said, adding that any geopolitical surprise could shift market sentiment, PTI quoted.NS Ramaswamy, Head of Commodities & CRM at Ventura, said gold has failed to breach the USD 3,300 level overseas. โ€œThe safe-haven appeal has diminished and the only support currently is a weaker dollar,โ€ he noted.Ramaswamy added that the dollar index has not received strong support despite the US-China deal. However, gold could see a positive boost if reciprocal tariffs are postponed beyond the July 9 deadline.โ€œWhile there is no clear consensus on a rate cut in July, expectations remain skewed towards easing, which lends some support to gold,โ€ he said. โ€œFalling oil prices have also eased inflation concerns and lifted risk sentiment, further eroding goldโ€™s appeal as a hedge.โ€With limited upside triggers and most factors turning bearish, gold prices are likely to remain under pressure unless the dollar weakens significantly or the Fed signals a major policy shift, he added



Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *